Sumários
Aula 10 (18 de Maio)
18 Maio 2026, 18:00 • José Santana Pereira
Sondagens, média e partidos políticos. Apresentações.
Apresentações:
Patterson, T. E. (2005). Of polls, mountains: US journalists and their use of election surveys. Public opinion quarterly, 69(5), 716-724.
Pereira, M. M. (2019). Do parties respond strategically to opinion polls? Evidence from campaign statements. Electoral Studies, 59, 78-86.
Pereira, M. M. (2020). Responsive campaigning: Evidence from European parties. The Journal of Politics, 82(4), 1183-1195.
Welch, R. L. (2002). Polls, polls, and more polls: An evaluation of how public opinion polls are reported in newspapers. Harvard International Journal of Press/Politics, 7(1), 102-114
Aula 9 (4 de Maio)
4 Maio 2026, 18:00 • José Santana Pereira
Efeitos das sondagens na opinião pública: Apresentações.
Apresentações:
Bursztyn, L., Cantoni, D., Funk, P., & Yuchtman, N. (2017). Polls, the press, and political participation: The effects of anticipated election closeness on voter turnout. Discussion paper.
Chatterjee, S., & Kamal, J. (2021). Voting for the underdog or jumping on the bandwagon? Evidence from India’s exit poll ban. Public Choice, 188(3), 431-453.
Aula 8 (27 de Abril)
27 Abril 2026, 18:00 • José Santana Pereira
Sondagens: Planeamento e Implementação (III): Apresentações.
Apresentações:
Daoust, J. F. (2021). Blame it on turnout? Citizens’ participation and polls’ accuracy. The British Journal of Politics and International Relations, 23(4), 736-747.
Krause, W., & Gahn, C. (2024). Should we include margins of error in public opinion polls?. European Journal of Political Research, 63(3), 1082-1107.
Prosser, C., & Mellon, J. (2018). The twilight of the polls? A review of trends in polling accuracy and the causes of polling misses. Government and Opposition, 53(4), 757–790.
Aula 7 (15 de Abri.l): Sondagens: planeamento e implementação (II)
15 Abril 2026, 18:00 • José Santana Pereira
Leituras:
Bethlehem, J. (2017). Understanding public opinion polls. Chapman and Hall/CRC.
Magalhães, P. (2011). Sondagens, Eleições e Opinião Pública. Lisboa: Fundação Francisco Manuel dos Santos
Aula 6 (13 de Abril)
13 Abril 2026, 18:00 • José Santana Pereira
Sondagens: planeamento e implementação (I)
Leituras:
Bethlehem, J. (2017). Understanding public opinion polls. Chapman and Hall/CRC